The Index recomputed live from the record

What the evidence says.What the public feels.

The record holds 939 sourced gains and 772 sourced problems, averaging 68 and 66 on the index score. Readers have logged 22 public signals on the Pulse, which is kept apart and never counted as evidence.

939 gains
772 problems
Every sourced claim in the Index, one square each, shaded by the strength of its evidence. High Moderate Emerging

Ranks distinct AI gain and problem claims from the published record. Scores reward impact, independent source strength, scale, confidence, and recency.

1,711 results
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AI gains · 939

557
ClimateStableModerate evidence · 1 source

A random forest model trained on 16S rRNA microbial community data from a field mesocosm predicted antifouling paint particle presence in sediment, with perfect detection of presence in test set and correct classification of all uncontaminated and 3 of 5 contaminated real-world Baltic Sea sites.

On 2026-08-03, a peer-reviewed study reported a random forest model trained on 16S rRNA gene sequencing from a field mesocosm to predict antifouling paint particle contamination in sediment. In lab incubation tests it identified 100% of presence samples and 83.3% of absence samples, and when applied to 14 Baltic Sea and Warnow estuary sites it correctly labeled all uncontaminated sites and three of five contaminated sites.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
95
Scale 20%
35
Confidence 15%
87
Recency 10%
86

Updated Aug 4, 2026 · TRV-2026-0643

67Index score
558
EducationStableModerate evidence · 1 source

Generative AI tools can supplement instructor feedback on science writing assignments, providing students an additional opportunity for critique and revision.

Published August 3, 2026, the peer-reviewed article presents a rubric designed to help instructors evaluate generative AI feedback on student writing assignments. The rubric assesses five dimensions and is illustrated with comparative data from multiple GenAI models applied to student work in a science writing course.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
95
Scale 20%
35
Confidence 15%
87
Recency 10%
86

Updated Aug 4, 2026 · TRV-2026-0642

67Index score
559
HealthStableModerate evidence · 1 source

Logistic regression achieved comparable discrimination to 14 machine learning algorithms for 28-day mortality prediction in young adults with acute poisoning and enabled a clinically usable nomogram for early risk stratification.

A multicenter study of 556 young adults with acute poisoning compared 14 machine learning algorithms to traditional logistic regression for predicting 28-day mortality. Using six LASSO-selected factors including herbicide poisoning, white blood cell count and shock, logistic regression matched the best machine learning model on discrimination and calibration, leading authors to build a nomogram for early risk stratification.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
95
Scale 20%
35
Confidence 15%
87
Recency 10%
86

Updated Aug 4, 2026 · TRV-2026-0641

67Index score
560
HealthStableModerate evidence · 1 source

AI models for CT, MRI, and ultrasound diagnosis of urological cancers achieved higher pooled specificity and AUC than clinicians in a 110-study meta-analysis.

A meta-analysis of 110 studies up to June 2026 evaluated AI algorithms for diagnosing urological cancers on CT, MRI, and ultrasound, pooling sensitivity, specificity, and AUC and comparing to clinician performance where reported.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
95
Scale 20%
35
Confidence 15%
87
Recency 10%
86

Updated Aug 4, 2026 · TRV-2026-0640

67Index score

AI problems · 772

557
PolicyNewly addedModerate evidence · 1 source

Recent alarm over existential risks of AI has created pressure for international control, but no global regulatory agreement exists.

On 5 October 2026 The Guardian published a comment piece arguing that Andy Burnham's government must decide priorities for the UK's G20 presidency next year. The author proposes that the first priority should be securing agreement on the need for and a process towards a global treaty on AI regulation, following recent alarm over existential risks.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
62
Scale 20%
85
Confidence 15%
62
Recency 10%
99

Updated Oct 8, 2026 · TRV-2026-1308

66Index score
558
CrimeNewly addedModerate evidence · 1 source

The six-month live facial recognition trial in London stations cost over £320,000 and nearly 100 officer hours yet produced only one incorrect watchlist match and no arrests.

Between February and July 2026, British Transport Police trialled live facial recognition in London's busiest railway stations, scanning over half a million faces across 18 deployments at a cost of £320,786. Freedom of information data showed the system generated only one watchlist alert, which was a false positive, and resulted in no arrests.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
62
Scale 20%
85
Confidence 15%
62
Recency 10%
97

Updated Sep 30, 2026 · TRV-2026-1213

66Index score
559
PolicyStableModerate evidence · 1 source

Unchecked development of AI could enable people with ill intent to cause mass-casualty events on the scale of a billion deaths, requiring federal safeguards and monitoring beyond self-regulation.

On 27 September 2026, The Guardian reported on Bill Gates's interview with NBC's Meet the Press host Kristen Welker, in which the Microsoft co-founder called for US federal legislators and law enforcers to require safeguards and monitoring for AI development, arguing self-regulation is not enough and warning that AI in the wrong hands could cause a billion deaths.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
62
Scale 20%
85
Confidence 15%
62
Recency 10%
97

Updated Sep 28, 2026 · TRV-2026-1206

66Index score
560
PolicyStableModerate evidence · 1 source

Pope Leo has warned against losing humanity in a “paradise of machines” as he addressed global concerns over the dangers of artificial intelligence at the start of a three-day visit to France.

Pope Leo has warned against losing humanity in a “paradise of machines” as he addressed global concerns over the dangers of artificial intelligence at the start of a three-day visit to France. “If we are to avoid losing our humanity amid a paradise of machines invading and conditioning our daily lives, there is an urgent need for people to be educated in ethical discernment, capable of seeing what is morally right,” he said in a speech at the Élysée.

Impact 30%
49
Evidence 25%
62
Scale 20%
85
Confidence 15%
62
Recency 10%
97

Updated Sep 26, 2026 · TRV-2026-1183

66Index score

Recomputed live from the record · Oct 13, 2026, 8:45 PM