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TRV-2026-0632Certified recordPeer-reviewed

Coupling machine learning with a biophysical model for maturity date prediction of apple fruit across China's apple planting regions

Background Accurate prediction of apple fruit maturity date is essential for optimizing harvest timing, fruit quality and market value under climate change. However, process-based crop models often show limited performance when extrapolated across large spatial scales, whereas machine learning models lack physiological interpretability. To address these limitations, this study has developed a hybrid framework integrating the process-based STICS model with machine learning approaches across China's apple planting…

Climate · G Space — documented gain · certified 2026-08-03 · v1 · article view · machine-readable

Current reading — gain

Hybrid STICS plus random forest integration improved accuracy and interpretability of apple fruit maturity date prediction to support harvest timing and climate adaptation across China's apple regions.

What this doesn’t fix

Model performance showed substantial regional variability and process-based models have known extrapolation limits at large spatial scales.

Evidence

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Truvace Impact Record TRV-2026-0632, v1: “Coupling machine learning with a biophysical model for maturity date prediction of apple fruit across China's apple planting regions.” Truvace, 2026-08-03. /record/TRV-2026-0632 (accessed at citation time). sha256 243e01eccfc4b051

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