Russia and US seek to block plan for binding rules on autonomous weapons

Plans to fill a gap in the global governance of autonomous weapons are in jeopardy as a group of nations led by Russia and the US move to use a UN conference this month to block proposals to negotiate a legally binding set of rules. The scale of the opposition will become clear at a diplomatic retreat starting on Friday before the seventh review conference on “certain conventional weapons” in Geneva due to be attended by 128 countries from 16 to 20 November. The review conference is seen as the key moment when t…

Russia and US seek to block plan for binding rules on autonomous weapons

In brief

A group of nations led by Russia and the US is moving to use a UN conference in Geneva to block proposals for negotiating legally binding rules on autonomous weapons. The seventh review conference on certain conventional weapons runs from 16 to 20 November and is due to be attended by 128 countries. A diplomatic retreat starting on Friday is expected to show how strong the opposition is.

Supporters of a treaty say the pressure is on states to keep the issue deadlocked. A coalition of 50 states, including Ireland, France, Germany, Brazil, Mexico and Italy, called for a strict negotiating mandate, and the ICRC says more than 70 states back starting negotiations. The Ireland-led proposal would create a time-limited expert group meeting for 25 days over three sessions in 2027.

The dispute is set against battlefield use. Ukraine said in July that Russia used an AI-guided drone for the first time, and the article reports that the US bombing of a school in Minab, Iran, on 28 February killed at least 175 people after the Maven AI system and human reviewers failed to flag the site as a school.

Main points

  1. The review conference on certain conventional weapons takes place in Geneva from 16 to 20 November and is due to be attended by 128 countries.
  2. Russia, the US and Israel, among others, oppose setting a timetable for a legally binding instrument; the UK did not back the Irish statement and argues existing humanitarian law is enough.
  3. The Ireland-led proposal would set up a time-limited expert group to negotiate over three Geneva sessions in 2027, totalling 25 days, and report a draft protocol that year.
  4. On 22 October, 50 states called for a strict negotiating mandate, and the ICRC reported more than 70 states backing negotiations.
  5. A total of 163 states voted at the UN disarmament committee that they were ready to launch negotiations.
  6. The US largely favours national controls under international humanitarian law, and the Pentagon has its own autonomous weapons working group.
  7. A Future of Life Institute poll found strong public support in France, Germany and the UK for a global treaty, with some scepticism it would be respected.
  8. The US bombing of a school in Minab, Iran, on 28 February killed at least 175 people; Palantir's Maven AI system reportedly did not flag that the site was a school.

The problem

Russia, the US and Israel are pushing against a timetable for a legally binding treaty on autonomous weapons, even though 163 states voted at a UN committee that they were ready to negotiate, so AI weapons could stay unregulated.

The full story

The UN has discussed autonomous weapons for nearly three years. A UN experts group report in September backed human judgment and control and limits on the range and breadth of operation, and France said it was enough for a mandate that bans completely autonomous weapons and regulates systems with autonomous functions. The group defined them as weapons capable of identifying, selecting and engaging a target without referring to a human.

Religious, humanitarian and UN voices have pressed for action. Pope Leo XIV said decisions affecting human life must stay under human oversight and urged states to take steps toward banning lethal autonomous weapons. The ICRC said the time had come to move from discussion to negotiation. In August, UN Secretary General António Guterres and ICRC president Mirjana Spoljaric warned of nearing a moral red line.

Human Rights Watch and Stop Killer Robots argue AI-assisted weapons behave unpredictably, raising the risk of fatal errors. Anna Hehir of the Future of Life Institute said some states would favour endless discussions on voluntary measures. The article cites the Minab school strike, where no one noticed the target had been a school for 10 years, as the latest example of AI misuse in war.

Sources

  1. JournalismThe Guardian2026-11-06

The debate