Leveraging transfer learning with deep learning for crime prediction
Crime remains a crucial concern regarding ensuring a safe and secure environment for the public. Numerous efforts have been made to predict crime, emphasizing the importance of employing deep learning approaches for precise predictions. However, sufficient crime data and resources for training state-of-the-art deep learning-based crime prediction systems pose a challenge. To address this issue, this study adopts the transfer learning paradigm. Moreover, this study fine-tunes state-of-the-art statistical and deep…
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A PLOS ONE study from April 2024 proposed a transfer learning system for crime prediction that fine-tunes a BiLSTM model and applies knowledge learned in one neighbourhood to another, aiming to overcome limited crime data and training resources. It was evaluated on crime datasets from Chicago, New York and Lahore against SMA, WMA, EMA, LSTM, BiLSTM and CNN-LSTM baselines.
The work matters because it claims faster, lower-error forecasts that could improve how police allocate resources and prevent offenses, but the abstract provides no measured deployment outcomes, fairness audits, or error metrics, leaving real-world effectiveness and risks of biased policing unaddressed.
- Study fine-tuned SMA, WMA, EMA, LSTM, BiLSTM and CNN-LSTM baselines and selected BiLSTM for transfer learning architecture.
- Transfer learning approach transfers crime knowledge from one neighbourhood to another to address limited data and resources.
- Evaluation used three city datasets: Chicago, New York, and Lahore.
Fine-tuned BiLSTM with transfer learning achieved lower prediction error and faster execution for weekly and monthly crime trends, evaluated on Chicago, New York and Lahore datasets, to support law enforcement prevention and control.
The rundown
Researchers fine-tuned statistical and deep learning baselines including SMA, WMA, EMA, LSTM, BiLSTM and CNN-LSTM, then built a BiLSTM-based transfer learning model that reuses learned patterns across neighbourhoods.
Tests on Chicago, New York and Lahore crime records reported low error values and reduced execution time for weekly and monthly forecasts, positioned as a tool to help law enforcement agencies control and prevent crime.
Sources
- Peer-reviewedPLOS ONE2024-04-17
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