Classification of tau status with machine learning models in amyloid-positive cohorts
Although tau positron emission tomography (PET) imaging is effective for staging tau pathology, it is limited clinically by cost and availability. Machine learning models based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)- and amyloid PET-derived features may serve as useful screening tools for tau pathology. Multiple machine learning models were developed to classify tau positivity in the Braak III/IV region using structural MRI, amyloid PET, and demographic features. Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) (…

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By August 2026, researchers had trained machine learning models on ADNI data to predict tau PET positivity from more accessible MRI and amyloid PET features, then tested them on OASIS-3 and SCAN cohorts. Logistic regression reached AUCs of 0.92 in both internal and external validation, with combined external accuracy of 85%.
The result matters because tau PET is effective but limited clinically by cost and availability, so an MRI-based surrogate could expand screening in amyloid-positive populations. It remains uncertain how the model would perform outside research cohorts, across diverse clinical settings, and whether predicted tau status would change care decisions or outcomes.
- Model trained on ADNI n=410 and externally validated on OASIS-3 n=143 and SCAN n=154 using MRI, amyloid PET, and demographic features.
- Logistic regression was best performing model with AUC 0.92 internally and externally and 85%/83%/85% accuracy/sensitivity/specificity combined.
- Subjects with mild cognitive impairment and predicted tau positivity progressed to AD at significantly faster pace with p < 10-6.
Machine learning models using structural MRI, amyloid PET, and demographic features can classify tau positivity in the Braak III/IV region in amyloid-positive cohorts, achieving AUC 0.92 and 85% accuracy on external validation.
The rundown
Researchers developed multiple machine learning models to classify tau positivity in the Braak III/IV region using structural MRI, amyloid PET, and demographic features, training on Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative data with n=410.
External validation used Open Access Series of Imaging Studies n=143 and Standardized Centralized Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging n=154, where logistic regression outperformed other models and predicted tau positivity was associated with faster progression from mild cognitive impairment to AD.
Sources
- Peer-reviewedAlzheimer's & Dementia2026-08-01
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