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TRV-2026-0664Certified recordPeer-reviewed

Dynamic prediction of HIV-related incomplete immune reconstitution: A multicenter, large cohort study using advanced joint modeling

Incomplete immune reconstitution (IIR) is a serious complication affecting 10 to 40% of people living with HIV (PLWH) despite effective antiretroviral therapy, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. Current risk prediction models rely on single-time point measurements and lack dynamic assessment capabilities. We developed a dynamic joint prediction system for IIR risk (DJPSIIR) using Bayesian joint modeling to analyze longitudinal data from 21,862 PLWH across 31 Chinese provinces (2003-2024). The system i…

Health · G Space — documented gain · certified 2026-08-06 · v1 · article view · machine-readable

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A Bayesian joint modeling system that integrates longitudinal CD4+ counts and CD4/CD8 ratios predicted 5- to 7-year risk of incomplete immune reconstitution in people living with HIV with high discrimination, enabling real-time identification of high-risk patients for timely intervention.

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Truvace Impact Record TRV-2026-0664, v1: “Dynamic prediction of HIV-related incomplete immune reconstitution: A multicenter, large cohort study using advanced joint modeling.” Truvace, 2026-08-06. /record/TRV-2026-0664 (accessed at citation time). sha256 1163d3008c16486d

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