Energy infrastructure construction and enterprises' Artificial Intelligence development: Evidence from China's ultra-high voltage transmission projects
Ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission projects are a key component of China's energy supply-side reforms, improving the efficiency and reliability of the power system. While their macro-level importance is well recognized, evidence on their impact on firm-level artificial intelligence (AI) development remains limited. This study addresses this gap by exploiting the staggered rollout of UHV transmission projects across prefecture-level cities as a quasi-natural experiment. Using a multi-period difference-in-diffe…

In brief
Researchers used the staggered rollout of ultra-high voltage transmission lines across Chinese prefecture-level cities as a quasi-natural experiment. They compared listed enterprises over 2007 to 2023 using a multi-period difference-in-differences design, and found that firms in cities with the projects developed AI more.
The finding suggests that reliable electricity supply can be a precondition for firms to adopt AI and digitally transform. Beyond the associations reported in the abstract, the supplied text does not give effect sizes or the specific AI measures used, so the magnitude is unclear.
Main points
- The study covers Chinese listed enterprises from 2007 to 2023, using the staggered rollout of UHV projects across prefecture-level cities.
- The effect is stronger for non-state-owned enterprises, inland-region firms, firms with CEO-chair duality, and high-tech enterprises.
- Identified mechanisms are stronger technological innovation, an expanded organizational resource base, and improved regional financial development.
- Further analyses indicate improved resource allocation efficiency and alleviated development bottlenecks.
The gain
Cities that gained ultra-high voltage transmission projects saw listed enterprises advance their AI development more than comparison cities, through stronger innovation, larger resource bases and better regional finance.
The rundown
The authors note that UHV projects are a key part of China's energy supply-side reforms, improving the efficiency and reliability of the power system. Their macro-level importance is well recognized, but firm-level evidence on AI development was limited.
The heterogeneity results show the benefit is not uniform. Non-state-owned, inland, CEO-chair-duality and high-tech firms showed stronger effects.
The authors conclude that linking physical energy infrastructure to firm-level AI development highlights the importance of reliable electricity for technology adoption and digital transformation.
Sources
- Peer-reviewedPLOS One2026-10-01
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The debate